Pagasa Forecasts Two Low-Pressure Areas Near Philippines with Minimal Cyclone Threat
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) has issued a weather projection indicating the potential development of two low-pressure areas (LPAs) in proximity to the Philippines during the period from February 11 to February 17, 2026. However, the national weather bureau has clarified that these weather disturbances are less likely to intensify into tropical cyclones, providing some reassurance to the public amid seasonal weather concerns.
Low Probability of Tropical Cyclone Formation This Week
Pagasa Visayas weather specialist Ana Dumdum emphasized that for this week, extending until February 17, the likelihood of a tropical cyclone forming or entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) remains notably low. Dumdum explained that these systems have not yet materialized and are currently only part of projection models used by meteorologists to anticipate weather patterns.
"It's just a projection forecast. There's a possible circulation, but based on the current analysis, it's still less likely to develop," said Dumdum, who communicated in a mix of Cebuano and English during the briefing. This statement underscores the preliminary nature of the forecast, which relies on ongoing atmospheric data and modeling techniques.
Specific Areas of Potential LPA Development
The forecast models suggest possible LPA development in two key regions:
- Near the southern part of Palawan, an area known for its vulnerability to weather shifts.
- Along the eastern boundary of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), which could influence broader regional weather conditions.
Despite these projections, Pagasa has not issued any immediate warnings, as the systems are not expected to escalate into more severe weather events like typhoons or tropical storms.
Public Advisory and Monitoring
In light of the forecast, Pagasa has advised the public to stay updated through official bulletins for any significant changes. Weather patterns can be unpredictable, and the bureau encourages vigilance, especially in coastal and low-lying areas that might be affected by any unexpected developments.
The agency's proactive communication aims to ensure that residents are informed without causing undue alarm, balancing awareness with the current low-risk assessment. This approach aligns with Pagasa's role in providing reliable weather information to support public safety and preparedness across the Philippines.
