The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) has given Filipinos a welcome weather forecast for the upcoming New Year celebrations. According to the state weather bureau, the country is set to welcome 2026 under generally fair skies, with no tropical cyclones currently threatening to disrupt festivities.
Clear Skies for Holiday Celebrations
In a phone interview with SunStar Cebu on Monday, December 29, 2025, Pagasa Visayas weather specialist Janina Marte delivered the positive outlook. She confirmed that no tropical cyclone is being monitored inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as the year draws to a close. This assessment is based on the latest situation report available from the agency.
The favorable conditions are expected to persist through the first week of the new year. Marte indicated that weather conditions from December 29, 2025, until January 4, 2026, should remain generally fair across the archipelago. This forecast provides a green light for outdoor gatherings, fireworks displays, and traditional media noche celebrations.
Isolated Rains Still Possible
Despite the overall positive forecast, the Pagasa specialist advised the public to remain prepared for some rain. Marte clarified that chances of rain showers still exist, primarily in the form of localized thunderstorms. These are typical weather patterns that can develop quickly, especially in the afternoon or evening.
The good news is that these potential showers are not expected to last long. Marte stated that such thunderstorms usually range from one to two hours in duration, meaning they are unlikely to put a damper on entire evening plans. Residents are still encouraged to monitor local updates for any sudden changes in their specific areas.
Monitoring the Second Week of January
Looking further ahead, Pagasa is keeping an eye on potential developments in the second week of January. Marte noted that from January 5 to 11, 2026, there is a low chance that a weather disturbance could form into a tropical cyclone over the southern part of Palawan.
However, she immediately tempered this observation with a note of caution. This possibility remains highly uncertain, as the forecast period is still relatively far out. Weather models can change significantly over a week, and Pagasa will continue to refine its predictions as the date approaches.
As of the December 29 briefing, the agency confirmed it is not monitoring any low-pressure area (LPA) or other significant weather system that could affect the country in the immediate term. This clear signal allows Filipinos to finalize their New Year's Eve plans with greater confidence, anticipating a celebration under generally clear and peaceful skies.
